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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031038590951001101151201258998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
43.50.3
44.744.4
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
red by 9.3
3175
#21
34.20.4
36.436.8
Auto13.7
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
3620
#22
26.20.3
24.123.8
Auto11.8
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 4.7
5152
#25
30.90.4
31.131.5
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Third
4405
#17
23.50.3
24.824.5
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 2.2
6528
#16
25.70.4
25.225.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed