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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87752040601001201409883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#5
34.91.4
30.131.5
Auto11.4
Teleop20.9
End2.6
red by 5.5
3655
#18
29.40.6
24.825.4
Auto7.6
Teleop20.0
End1.8
Second
29.91.4
24.525.9
Auto7.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 5.9
7211
#34
23.90.6
26.126.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.6
End2.3
Third
6569
#28
25.01.4
22.824.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End2.2
red by 4.5
2960
#24
20.50.6
18.419.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned40%Ensemble oddsEarned