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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions499402040608012014016057103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#15
33.10.5
26.727.2
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
blue by 9.9
43.01.2
36.037.3
Auto17.7
Teleop21.9
End3.3
Second
6085
#39
14.20.5
10.210.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.4
blue by 13.8
548
#8
28.01.2
22.824.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Third
9743
#36
10.70.5
12.613.1
Auto5.8
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 13.3
8286
#23
23.91.2
21.022.2
Auto11.8
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed