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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106720501507878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.2
red by 0.8
3322
#14
32.7
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Second
85
#19
31.7
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End2.0
red by 7.5
5612
#12
24.2
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
Third
4004
#32
24.9
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
red by 8.7
5901
#37
16.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed