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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721092040608010012014016018043113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#11
25.91.7
27.525.7
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.6
blue by 18.3
44.21.1
39.040.1
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
Second
3452
#20
21.91.7
21.019.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End1.3
blue by 9.0
5152
#25
30.91.1
31.532.6
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Third
5533
#40
17.61.7
20.719.0
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.7
blue by 8.6
3620
#22
26.21.1
23.824.9
Auto11.8
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed