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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748540601001201405359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#17
23.51.0
24.523.5
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 11.4
245
#5
34.91.1
31.530.4
Auto11.4
Teleop20.9
End2.6
Second
51
#33
21.61.0
23.022.0
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
blue by 0.1
503
#30
21.71.1
18.217.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.1
Third
5561
#27
17.71.0
20.519.5
Auto9.9
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 2.7
5505
#26
20.41.1
26.024.8
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed