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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78732040601001201401607163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6528
#16
25.70.2
25.525.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.2
blue by 6.0
910
#9
31.80.4
26.826.4
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
Second
5424
#31
23.90.2
23.122.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Level
7211
#34
23.90.4
26.726.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.6
End2.3
Third
3602
#38
19.50.2
20.920.7
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.8
red by 8.9
9743
#36
10.70.4
13.112.7
Auto5.8
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed