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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7711302040601001401608880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#18
29.40.8
25.426.2
Auto7.6
Teleop20.0
End1.8
blue by 14.2
27
#3
43.51.9
44.442.5
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
Second
548
#8
28.00.8
24.024.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
red by 2.4
4237
#29
25.51.9
26.624.8
Auto11.7
Teleop11.9
End1.9
Third
6569
#28
25.00.8
24.225.0
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End2.2
Level
5084
#35
25.01.9
26.925.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned