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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8795204060801201401608581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.4
25.926.2
Auto7.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
blue by 13.1
43.00.4
37.336.9
Auto17.7
Teleop21.9
End3.3
Second
70
#4
29.80.4
29.129.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End5.4
blue by 4.4
3175
#21
34.20.4
36.836.4
Auto13.7
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Third
2851
#10
25.80.4
24.825.1
Auto8.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
red by 11.6
6085
#39
14.20.4
10.710.3
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed