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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7394501509089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#22
26.21.4
24.926.3
Auto11.8
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 7.4
33.50.4
33.333.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.2
Second
4392
#13
25.81.4
24.926.3
Auto13.8
Teleop11.0
End1.0
blue by 7.3
7197
#15
33.10.4
27.227.6
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
Third
2960
#24
20.51.4
19.020.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End5.1
blue by 3.5
8286
#23
23.90.4
22.222.6
Auto11.8
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed