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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89822040601001201401608681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#19
31.71.3
34.633.4
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End2.0
blue by 1.0
3322
#14
32.70.3
28.828.6
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Second
3707
#11
25.91.3
25.724.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.6
red by 1.0
4004
#32
24.90.3
24.023.8
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
Third
5561
#27
17.71.3
19.518.2
Auto9.9
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 3.8
51
#33
21.60.3
22.021.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsEarned