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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69650501001502007148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6528
#16
25.70.6
25.325.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.2
blue by 3.6
3655
#18
29.40.8
26.225.5
Auto7.6
Teleop20.0
End1.8
Second
3452
#20
21.90.6
19.219.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End1.3
red by 2.3
3602
#38
19.50.8
20.719.9
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Third
503
#30
21.70.6
17.117.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.1
red by 11.0
9743
#36
10.70.8
12.711.9
Auto5.8
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed