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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9972204060801201401608663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.0
40.140.1
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
red by 18.4
2851
#10
25.80.5
25.124.6
Auto8.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
Second
5424
#31
23.90.0
22.922.8
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 0.3
5612
#12
24.20.5
20.820.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
Third
4405
#17
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 0.4
8286
#23
23.90.5
22.622.1
Auto11.8
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed