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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10389204060801201401606783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#5
34.91.8
36.634.9
Auto11.4
Teleop20.9
End2.6
red by 1.8
7197
#15
33.10.1
31.331.2
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
Second
3175
#21
34.21.8
35.633.8
Auto13.7
Teleop18.6
End2.0
red by 8.4
4392
#13
25.80.1
25.625.5
Auto13.8
Teleop11.0
End1.0
Third
5533
#40
17.61.8
19.317.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.7
blue by 8.0
4237
#29
25.50.1
25.625.5
Auto11.7
Teleop11.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed