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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87974060801201401607781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#19
31.70.5
33.432.8
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End2.0
blue by 1.8
33.51.2
33.732.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.2
Second
6528
#16
25.70.5
25.925.4
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.2
blue by 4.1
70
#4
29.81.2
29.428.2
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End5.4
Third
2960
#24
20.50.5
20.419.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End5.1
blue by 7.5
548
#8
28.01.2
23.622.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
82%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned