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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71113204060801001401601806376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#9
31.80.4
27.627.2
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
blue by 11.8
27
#3
43.51.4
41.339.9
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
Second
51
#33
21.60.4
21.821.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
blue by 21.4
43.01.4
38.136.7
Auto17.7
Teleop21.9
End3.3
Third
3602
#38
19.50.4
19.919.5
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.8
red by 1.8
5561
#27
17.71.4
18.216.8
Auto9.9
Teleop5.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned