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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9086506070801001101201306890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#25
30.90.9
33.332.5
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End2.1
blue by 13.3
44.20.8
40.140.9
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
Second
29.90.9
27.526.6
Auto7.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 5.7
5612
#12
24.20.8
20.321.1
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
Third
5901
#37
16.20.9
20.219.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
blue by 5.5
503
#30
21.70.8
17.718.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned