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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80796070901009283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#13
25.81.4
26.327.7
Auto13.8
Teleop11.0
End1.0
red by 0.8
5084
#35
25.00.7
25.826.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End2.8
Second
7211
#34
23.91.4
25.126.4
Auto6.0
Teleop15.6
End2.3
blue by 1.0
4004
#32
24.90.7
23.824.4
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
Third
3452
#20
21.91.4
19.921.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End1.3
blue by 1.7
4405
#17
23.50.7
23.524.1
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned