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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions619402040801201404985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#11
25.90.7
24.523.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.6
blue by 8.3
3175
#21
34.20.2
36.436.2
Auto13.7
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
5424
#31
23.90.7
22.822.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 1.6
4237
#29
25.50.2
24.824.6
Auto11.7
Teleop11.9
End1.9
Third
9743
#36
10.70.7
11.911.2
Auto5.8
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 9.8
2960
#24
20.50.2
19.919.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned