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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9192708010011011391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#5
34.92.0
30.432.4
Auto11.4
Teleop20.9
End2.6
red by 2.2
3322
#14
32.70.6
28.629.1
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Second
7197
#15
33.12.0
27.629.6
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
red by 3.3
70
#4
29.80.6
28.228.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End5.4
Third
2851
#10
25.82.0
24.626.6
Auto8.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
red by 0.8
6569
#28
25.00.6
25.826.3
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned