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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81119406010014016018053118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#25
30.91.6
32.530.9
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End2.1
blue by 12.6
27
#3
43.50.9
41.642.5
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
Second
3452
#20
21.91.6
22.921.3
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End1.3
blue by 13.0
245
#5
34.90.9
33.234.0
Auto11.4
Teleop20.9
End2.6
Third
5505
#26
20.41.6
22.220.5
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
blue by 12.3
3322
#14
32.70.9
28.229.1
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed62%Ensemble oddsEarned