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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92720204060801001201401609280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.7
39.039.7
Auto17.7
Teleop21.9
End3.3
red by 15.0
548
#8
28.00.4
24.524.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Second
33.50.7
32.333.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.2
red by 9.6
5424
#31
23.90.4
23.123.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Third
9743
#36
10.70.7
9.910.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 6.9
5533
#40
17.60.4
20.120.4
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed