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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828740601001201407966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#11
25.90.3
23.023.3
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.6
blue by 5.8
85
#19
31.70.8
32.731.9
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End2.0
Second
4392
#13
25.80.3
27.928.1
Auto13.8
Teleop11.0
End1.0
red by 0.8
6569
#28
25.00.8
26.025.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End2.2
Third
8286
#23
23.90.3
24.224.5
Auto11.8
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 4.4
3602
#38
19.50.8
19.518.7
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsMissed