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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9273204060801001201407884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#21
34.20.2
35.535.4
Auto13.7
Teleop18.6
End2.0
red by 8.5
6528
#16
25.70.9
25.526.4
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Second
5084
#35
25.00.2
26.926.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End2.8
blue by 0.5
4237
#29
25.50.9
24.825.8
Auto11.7
Teleop11.9
End1.9
Third
5901
#37
16.20.2
18.117.9
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
blue by 1.5
5561
#27
17.70.9
17.618.5
Auto9.9
Teleop5.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned