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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778740601001205587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#32
24.91.0
26.125.0
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
blue by 6.8
910
#9
31.80.0
26.926.9
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
Second
5612
#12
24.21.0
21.320.2
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
blue by 5.6
70
#4
29.80.0
29.729.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End5.4
Third
5505
#26
20.41.0
23.222.2
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
blue by 0.1
2960
#24
20.50.0
20.620.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
66%Ensemble oddsEarned52%Ensemble oddsEarned