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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10797608012014016011698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#21
34.20.0
35.435.4
Auto13.7
Teleop18.6
End2.0
blue by 9.9
44.20.6
41.442.0
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
Second
7197
#15
33.10.0
30.830.8
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
red by 9.2
7211
#34
23.90.6
25.926.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.6
End2.3
Third
70
#4
29.80.0
29.729.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End5.4
red by 8.2
51
#33
21.60.6
21.321.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned36%Ensemble oddsMissed