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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737350607080906666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6569
#28
25.0
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End2.2
blue by 4.4
3655
#18
29.4
Auto7.6
Teleop20.0
End1.8
Second
4405
#17
23.5
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 1.4
4004
#32
24.9
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
Third
5901
#37
16.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
blue by 1.5
5561
#27
17.7
Auto9.9
Teleop5.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsMissed