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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569502040801201407855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#29
25.51.4
25.827.2
Auto11.7
Teleop11.9
End1.9
blue by 0.3
4392
#13
25.81.8
28.126.4
Auto13.8
Teleop11.0
End1.0
Second
503
#30
21.71.4
18.119.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.1
blue by 4.0
6528
#16
25.71.8
26.424.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Third
6085
#39
14.21.4
11.412.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.4
blue by 10.9
5084
#35
25.01.8
26.825.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsMissed