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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108101050150200250117114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
43.51.4
42.543.9
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
red by 0.6
43.01.1
39.740.8
Auto17.7
Teleop21.9
End3.3
Second
33.51.4
33.034.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.2
red by 0.8
3322
#14
32.71.1
29.130.2
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Third
5612
#12
24.21.4
21.222.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
blue by 1.7
3707
#11
25.91.1
23.324.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
80%Ensemble oddsEarned71%Ensemble oddsEarned