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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12086406010014016018012287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.21.2
42.043.2
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
red by 9.9
3175
#21
34.20.4
35.435.7
Auto13.7
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
245
#5
34.91.2
34.035.2
Auto11.4
Teleop20.9
End2.6
red by 6.9
548
#8
28.00.4
24.825.2
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Third
910
#9
31.81.2
28.429.6
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
red by 9.9
3452
#20
21.90.4
21.321.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed