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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7991501001507582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#29
25.50.2
28.328.1
Auto11.7
Teleop11.9
End1.9
blue by 8.0
33.50.0
35.735.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.2
Second
8286
#23
23.90.2
22.722.6
Auto11.8
Teleop10.1
End2.0
blue by 7.8
910
#9
31.80.0
26.126.0
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
Third
51
#33
21.60.2
22.021.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
blue by 0.3
3452
#20
21.90.0
18.718.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed