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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100772040601201401607679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.01.4
37.336.0
Auto17.7
Teleop21.9
End3.3
red by 13.1
29.90.4
23.223.6
Auto7.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Second
7197
#15
33.11.4
27.125.8
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
red by 9.2
7211
#34
23.90.4
25.726.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.6
End2.3
Third
3602
#38
19.51.4
23.021.7
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.8
blue by 4.0
4405
#17
23.50.4
23.724.2
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed