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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826520401001201407275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#25
30.90.4
30.930.5
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End2.1
red by 6.0
4004
#32
24.90.9
25.025.9
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
Second
503
#30
21.70.4
19.519.2
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.1
blue by 2.2
5424
#31
23.90.9
23.524.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Third
51
#33
21.60.4
21.921.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
red by 7.4
6085
#39
14.20.9
12.713.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed