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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976102040801201401607680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#4
29.80.5
29.729.2
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End5.4
red by 4.0
4392
#13
25.80.7
26.427.1
Auto13.8
Teleop11.0
End1.0
Second
3620
#22
26.20.5
28.728.2
Auto11.8
Teleop12.4
End2.0
red by 2.6
4405
#17
23.50.7
22.323.0
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.1
Third
5084
#35
25.00.5
25.024.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End2.8
red by 14.3
9743
#36
10.70.7
10.611.3
Auto5.8
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
57%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned