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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7186204060801001201405188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6569
#28
25.01.1
25.224.1
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End2.2
blue by 4.9
29.90.5
30.030.5
Auto7.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Second
5505
#26
20.41.1
20.519.4
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
blue by 5.1
4237
#29
25.50.5
27.227.6
Auto11.7
Teleop11.9
End1.9
Third
5533
#40
17.61.1
20.419.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.7
blue by 2.0
3602
#38
19.50.5
18.719.2
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed