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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778220406010012014011860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#18
29.41.5
22.924.4
Auto7.6
Teleop20.0
End1.8
blue by 3.7
7197
#15
33.10.9
30.829.9
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
Second
6528
#16
25.71.5
24.726.2
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.2
red by 3.9
3452
#20
21.90.9
21.720.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End1.3
Third
5612
#12
24.21.5
22.524.1
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
red by 3.7
2960
#24
20.50.9
21.520.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
72%Ensemble oddsEarned35%Ensemble oddsMissed