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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8973204060801001201408275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.2
34.434.6
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.2
red by 3.7
70
#4
29.80.5
29.229.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End5.4
Second
5084
#35
25.00.2
24.524.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End2.8
red by 5.5
3602
#38
19.50.5
19.219.6
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Third
5505
#26
20.40.2
19.419.6
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
red by 2.9
5533
#40
17.60.5
19.319.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned