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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114772040601001401601809459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.6
43.242.6
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
red by 12.4
910
#9
31.81.3
29.628.2
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
Second
27
#3
43.50.6
43.943.2
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
red by 17.7
4392
#13
25.81.3
27.125.8
Auto13.8
Teleop11.0
End1.0
Third
9743
#36
10.70.6
11.310.7
Auto5.8
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 5.5
5901
#37
16.21.3
17.416.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed