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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78982040601201409596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#5
34.91.4
35.236.6
Auto11.4
Teleop20.9
End2.6
red by 3.2
85
#19
31.70.6
31.432.1
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End2.0
Second
3655
#18
29.41.4
24.425.8
Auto7.6
Teleop20.0
End1.8
blue by 0.5
29.90.6
30.531.1
Auto7.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Third
6085
#39
14.21.4
13.715.1
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.4
blue by 9.8
5424
#31
23.90.6
24.425.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed