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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71954060801201407883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#8
28.00.4
25.225.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 5.1
7197
#15
33.10.0
29.929.8
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
Second
51
#33
21.60.4
21.621.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
blue by 9.3
5152
#25
30.90.0
30.530.5
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Third
2960
#24
20.50.4
20.620.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End5.1
blue by 3.0
4405
#17
23.50.0
23.023.0
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed