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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77109406010012014016072109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#21
34.20.1
35.735.6
Auto13.7
Teleop18.6
End2.0
blue by 8.7
43.01.0
40.841.8
Auto17.7
Teleop21.9
End3.3
Second
3602
#38
19.50.1
19.619.5
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.8
blue by 10.2
70
#4
29.81.0
29.730.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End5.4
Third
5561
#27
17.70.1
18.318.2
Auto9.9
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 6.5
5612
#12
24.21.0
24.125.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed71%Ensemble oddsEarned