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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8899608012014049105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#29
25.52.1
27.725.6
Auto11.7
Teleop11.9
End1.9
blue by 18.6
44.21.1
42.643.7
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
Second
4004
#32
24.92.1
27.024.9
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
blue by 0.9
2851
#10
25.81.1
24.725.9
Auto8.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
Third
7211
#34
23.92.1
26.023.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.6
End2.3
red by 2.1
3452
#20
21.91.1
20.721.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned