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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958020406012014016012360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#14
32.71.6
30.231.8
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End3.2
red by 2.9
29.90.9
31.130.2
Auto7.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Second
910
#9
31.81.6
28.229.8
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
red by 5.6
3620
#22
26.20.9
28.027.0
Auto11.8
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Third
3655
#18
29.41.6
25.827.4
Auto7.6
Teleop20.0
End1.8
red by 15.2
6085
#39
14.20.9
15.114.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
60%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed