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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058860801001201409665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
43.50.1
43.243.1
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
red by 10.0
33.51.1
34.633.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.2
Second
4392
#13
25.80.1
25.825.6
Auto13.8
Teleop11.0
End1.0
red by 1.9
5424
#31
23.91.1
25.023.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Third
6569
#28
25.00.1
24.224.0
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End2.2
red by 3.4
51
#33
21.61.1
21.920.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed