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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87622040801001209752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#15
33.11.4
29.831.3
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
red by 12.6
2960
#24
20.50.5
20.920.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End5.1
Second
548
#8
28.01.4
25.627.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
red by 10.3
5561
#27
17.70.5
18.217.7
Auto9.9
Teleop5.5
End2.3
Third
503
#30
21.71.4
20.321.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.1
red by 4.1
5533
#40
17.60.5
19.819.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed