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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9771204060801201409669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.8
41.842.5
Auto17.7
Teleop21.9
End3.3
red by 17.0
3707
#11
25.90.1
25.525.6
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Second
4405
#17
23.50.8
23.023.8
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 2.2
6528
#16
25.70.1
26.026.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Third
5505
#26
20.40.8
19.620.4
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
red by 4.2
5901
#37
16.20.1
16.116.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned46%Ensemble oddsEarned