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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98730501507477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#25
30.90.8
31.931.1
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End2.1
red by 5.1
4392
#13
25.80.2
24.624.8
Auto13.8
Teleop11.0
End1.0
Second
70
#4
29.80.8
28.928.1
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End5.4
red by 4.0
2851
#10
25.80.2
26.026.2
Auto8.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
Third
4004
#32
24.90.8
24.724.0
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
red by 3.2
503
#30
21.70.2
18.718.9
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed