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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71100501502006598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5676
#19
27.50.2
21.921.7
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End2.9
blue by 7.2
1701
#14
34.80.6
29.530.1
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Second
7501
#25
26.00.2
20.420.2
Auto12.2
Teleop12.3
End1.5
blue by 7.9
33.90.6
30.731.3
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End5.5
Third
3688
#31
24.10.2
25.225.0
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End2.9
blue by 0.3
4381
#32
24.40.6
27.127.7
Auto7.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned