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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104782040601201401609094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.1
37.637.5
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
red by 10.6
31.21.4
28.129.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End3.7
Second
32.10.1
29.829.7
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End2.1
red by 7.5
1481
#21
24.71.4
24.225.6
Auto13.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
123
#39
21.50.1
23.923.8
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End2.3
red by 0.3
6570
#30
21.21.4
21.022.4
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed