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Red74
122.8
353622.4
543632.3
Blue81
377019.9
258624.8
261135.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888740506070801001101207481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#12
32.30.3
35.535.1
Auto9.6
Teleop19.9
End2.8
blue by 2.7
2611
#24
35.00.2
31.932.1
Auto13.5
Teleop20.4
End1.1
Second
1
#36
22.80.3
22.021.7
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End2.0
blue by 2.0
2586
#29
24.80.2
28.428.5
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Third
3536
#15
22.40.3
21.721.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
red by 2.5
3770
#40
19.90.2
18.418.6
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed